GrowthTrigger
Lifecycle ROI calculator

Your brand's lifecycle program pays for itself at 250 leads a month and returns 3x at 400 to 750.

Built from the funnel up: site visitors, signups and intake starts, what the welcome and abandonment flows convert, what broadcasts add on top, and what each new patient is worth over 12 months. ROI is measured on gross profit so it lines up with CAC and LTV.

$/ mo
$2Kdrag or type$50K
Breakeven floor
~250 / mo
3x target band
400 to 750 / mo
Value per new patient
$1,096
Front end
Industry average 1 to 2%. A good multi-step popup gets 5 to 12% of visitors who see it.
People who leave an email in the questionnaire without using the popup.
= 1,000 leads a month (33 a day)
Lifecycle
Leads converted by welcome + abandonment flows
The welcome flow alone converts 10 to 25% of popup signups, but signups are only part of all leads. Both flows together convert 5 to 15% of every lead.
Leads the flows miss keep buying from broadcasts over the following weeks and months. 30 to 50% at an engaged, mature list; 0 for a brand with no list yet.
Unit economics
After product, pharmacy, provider and shipping. The same cost applies to the first order.
Cash-pay GLP-1 runs about 3.5 (53% still paying at month 3, 22% at month 6). Use 1 for one-off purchases.
The deal
Store sales today, all channels. Drives the directional store sales in the ladder, the share-of-revenue check and the 12-month ramp. Leave at 0 to hide them.
Leads
1,000
per month
New patients
143
flows + broadcasts / mo
12-mo revenue
$157K
from one month of leads
12-mo gross profit
$78K
from one month of leads
Return on retainer
15.7x
gross profit / retainer
5% to 15% flow conversion Selected rate Retainer 3x of retainer
Share of revenue

Where email and SMS land once cohorts stack up

Value-based pricing

What the program is worth, and what a fair fee looks like

Email + SMS gross profit, per month at steady state$78K
Your retainer$5,000
Fee that keeps the brand at 5x return$15.7K
Fee that keeps the brand at 3x return (ceiling)$26.1K
Retainer as a share of email + SMS gross profit6%
Retainer as a share of email + SMS revenue (commission equivalent)3%

Use the 3x fee as the ceiling when pricing on value. If your quote sits well under the 5x fee, there is room to price higher as the brand grows. A commission at the "share of email + SMS revenue" rate pays the same as your retainer today and scales with results.

The first 12 months

How email's share of store sales builds as cohorts stack and the list matures

Email + SMS revenue that month 25 to 40% mature-brand range Labels: share of today's store sales
The ladder

What each level of traction produces

Leads / monthPer dayNew patientsEmail + SMS revenue / moStore sales / mo12-mo gross profitReturn on retainerVerdict

Main figure at the selected flow rate, range below it at 5% to 15%. Email + SMS revenue / mo is the steady-state monthly figure once about a year of cohorts has stacked up, which equals the 12-month revenue from one month of leads. Store sales are directional: today's store sales scaled by lead volume, with email's share underneath. Broadcast layer and incrementality settings apply to every row.

How the funnel converts

Where each benchmark sits

  1. Visitors to leads. A good popup or signup form opts in 5 to 12% of the visitors who see it (industry average 1 to 2%). Intake starters who leave their email count as leads too.
  2. Leads to first orders through flows. The welcome flow converts 10 to 25% of popup signups. Welcome and questionnaire abandonment together convert 5 to 15% of every lead, which is the band used here.
  3. Broadcasts convert more over time. People who went through the flows without buying keep converting in the following weeks and months from broadcast content.
  4. Mature brand. With a big list of engaged profiles, email and SMS bring in 25 to 40% of total sales.
How to read it

Assumptions behind every number

  • Gross profit is the ROI basis, revenue is shown alongside.
  • Value lands over 12 months. One month of leads earns its value across the year as recurring orders bill. Steady-state monthly figures assume roughly a year of stacked cohorts.
  • Broadcast uplift is derived from the share: at 30% broadcast share, broadcasts add 43% on top of flow conversions.
  • Retention lift is not counted. Onboarding typically adds 30 to 50% LTV and win-back recovers 5 to 10% of churners. Both are left out, so the model leans low.